So the nation-wide polls say it is a close race. According to yesterday's CNN poll of polls, Obama has a slight lead, 47-43. But if George Bush's elections taught us anything it is that the national popular vote doesn't matter, its the electoral college that is the real score card. So what happens when you break it down by electoral votes?
According to my favorite, electoral-vote.com, Obama is winning big, 304-221 [it takes 270 to win]. Note that the Old Dominion is the only state that is currently considered a "tie." This website simulates election day, awarding a state to whomever is leading, regardless of how slim the lead.
CNN has it much closer (and probably a more reasonable way of looking at it this far out)--Obama has 190, McCain 194, with 154 "toss up" electoral votes.
This is the race to watch, not those nation-wide polls.
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1 comment:
Thanks, s, for interesting political commentary!
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